10K Weekend Bets: 1/15 Roundtable

Football Gambling NFL

From now until the end of the NFL season, we’re gonna host a roundtable here at 10,000 Takes. Each week, we’ll take a handful of the best games on the NFL slate and give our picks on the money line, spread, and over-under.

The third week of picks has Dev still in the lead. Moral of the story: when Dev picks the underdog…..ride with it.

PlayerOverall (%)MoneylineSpreadOver/Under
*Dev*75.9809055.6
Lancman61.071.464.346.2
Veech61.078.671.430.8
Zooch53.757.15053.8
Cam51.264.342.946.2
Mathman48.857.15038.5
Consensus44.757.146.227.3
AJ43.95042.938.5
Bates41.542.935.746.2

Without further ado, let’s take a look at this week’s games and the picks.

LA Rams (+7) at GB Packers (O/U 45.5) (3:35 PM Saturday)

Mathman’s Picks: Packers ML, Packers -7, O45.5

Bates’ Picks: Packers ML, Packers -7, O45.5

AJ’s Picks: Packers ML, Rams +7, O45.5

Zooch’s Picks: Packers ML, Rams +7, O45.5

Cam’s Picks: Packers ML, Packers -7, O45.5

Veech’s Picks: Packers ML, Rams +7, O45.5

Lancman’s Picks: Packers ML, Rams +7, U45.5

Dev’s Picks: Packers ML, Rams +7, U45.5

Dev’s Reasoning: The Rams will keep it close, but Rodgers rarely loses at Lambeau in the playoffs. If the Rams get some turnover luck they could win, but I think the Packers ultimately win a close one.

10K Consensus: Packers ML (8-0), Rams +7 (5-3), O45.5 (6-2)

Baltimore Ravens (+2.5) at Buffalo Bills (O/U 50) (7:15 PM Saturday)

Mathman’s Picks: Bills ML, Bills -2.5, O50

Bates’ Picks: Bills ML, Ravens +2.5, O50

AJ’s Picks: Bills ML, Bills -2.5, O50

Zooch’s Picks: Ravens ML, Ravens +2.5, O50

Cam’s Picks: Ravens ML, Ravens +2.5, O50

Veech’s Picks: Bills ML, Bills -2.5, O50

Lancman’s Picks: Bills ML, Ravens +2.5, U50

Dev’s Picks: Bills ML, Bills -2.5, O50

Dev’s Reasoning: I think the Bills win in a shootout. Both offenses are ready to go, and I think they’ll both move the ball well. Might come down to who gets the ball last, and I think the Bills have a slight edge on both offense and defense if they need a score or a stop to win.

10K Consensus: Bills ML (6-2), tie spread (4-4), O50 (7-1)

Cleveland Browns (+10.5) at KC Chiefs (O/U 57) (2:05 PM Sunday)

Mathman’s Picks: Chiefs ML, Browns +10.5, U57

Bates’ Picks: Chiefs ML, Browns +10.5, U57

AJ’s Picks: Chiefs ML, Chiefs -10.5, U57

Zooch’s Picks: Chiefs ML, Browns +10.5, U57

Cam’s Picks: Chiefs ML, Browns +10.5, U57

Veech’s Picks: Chiefs ML, Browns +10.5, U57

Lancman’s Picks: Chiefs ML, Chiefs -10.5, U57

Dev’s Picks: Chiefs ML, Browns +10.5, U57

Dev’s Reasoning: The Chiefs are 1-7 ATS since week 9 with an average margin of victory of 3.9. This Browns team may be beat up, but they have the “no one thinks we can win” chip on their shoulder. Stefanski isn’t stupid and he knows the only way to beat the Chiefs is to control the clock and that’s exactly what this Browns team is built to do. I see them controlling the clock but being unable to put the Chiefs away.

10K Consensus: Chiefs ML (8-0), Browns +10.5 (6-2), U57 (8-0)

TB Buccaneers (+3) at New Orleans Saints (O/U 52) (5:40 PM Sunday)

Mathman’s Picks: Saints ML, Saints -3, O52

Bates’ Picks: Saints ML, Saints -3, O52

AJ’s Picks: Bucs ML, Bucs +3, O52

Zooch’s Picks: Bucs ML, Bucs +3, O52

Cam’s Picks: Bucs ML, Bucs +3, U52

Veech’s Picks: Bucs ML, Bucs +3, O52

Lancman’s Picks: Bucs ML, Bucs +3, O52

Dev’s Picks: Bucs ML, Bucs +3, O52

Dev’s Reasoning: The whole narrative about how it’s next to impossible to beat a team 3x in one year is true. It’s happened 17 times in the last 70 years. No QB has been hotter down the stretch than Tom Brady, as much as I want to hate it. This Bucs team is inconsistent, but I think Brady wills them to victory. If this Bucs D was a little better I’d take the under (since the Saints offense has been underperforming in my eyes). Despite all this, I think this game has the potential to be two of the best QBs ever trading blows until the final whistle.

10K Consensus: Bucs ML (6-2), Bucs +3 (6-2), O52 (7-1)