NFL Divisional Round Playoff Picks!
We are down to the Elite 8 (in NFL terms) and we have a couple doozies on the slate this weekend. What storylines do we have? Well, I’m glad you asked! In a matchup between the two hottest offenses in the NFL, the Bills trying to circle the wagons against Lamar, who ran wild to get his first playoff win last week. The Browns won a playoff game and their prize is traveling to Kansas City to play Mahomes, good luck. The Rams’ defense and shitty quarterback play take their talents to the tundra to face Aaron Rodgers. The two old geezer’s, Brady & Brees face off in a History Channel matchup. There you have it! Overall, some pretty nice matchups, so let’s dig in.
Los Angeles Rams @ Green Bay Packers -6.5 (O/U 45.5)
After making Russell Wilson look like a buffoon last weekend, the Rams defense now has to face the presumed MVP of the NFL, Aaron Rodgers. Everything is going against the Rams in this matchup. The Packers come in rested. The Rams are going to be playing in freezing temperatures in Rodgers’ own backyard. Goff is hands down the worst quarterback remaining in the playoffs and their only hope behind him is Blake Bortles. However, did you see that Rams defense last week? Jalen Ramsey has his own island that receivers go to die and Aaron Donald is the one guy in the NFL that no one wants to fuck with. But in Green and Gold, you have #12. The MVP. Aaron Rodgers. You also have a good running back, an elite receiver, and a great coach. With all that being said, who makes the difference? As good as the Rams defense is, Rodgers will find a way at home in the tundra. Will they win by a touchdown though? I lean no. The Rams played too well against Russell Wilson last week for me to believe Rodgers will dice them up. Therefore, and I hate myself for this already, but I’m taking the Rams on the spread. I know Goff sucks peen but he has a great coach who will make it easy on him and they’ll keep it just close enough.My Picks: LAR +6.5 / O45.5
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills -2.5 (O/U 49.5)
What a game this is. First of all, these two offenses are hotter than a honeymoon hotel. Lamar doesn’t even need to throw at this point and he is still unstoppable. Josh Allen finds a way to carve up 300+ and 3 TD’s every week. Both defenses are fine, but nothing that’ll excite you, so I love this Over. 49.5 points? Two words… child’s play. If you’ve read my blogs before, you know I don’t use the word “Lock” but I’ll be damned if this doesn’t hit Over 49.5 points. Also, Stefon Diggs is like 15-1 on his Reception Prop this year so grab that. I don’t care if it is 8.5, just take it. Also, I love me a Mark Andrews anytime TD Prop. Jack Doyle was as open as a 7-Eleven last week against the Bills and Andrews is twice the player as Doyle. When games tend to be a toss up like this and the spread is under 3 points, I tend to take the underdog on the Moneyline. So, why stop now? Give me the Ravens Moneyline at +125. That is too sexy with how well this team is playing, and you know damn well the NFL is going to do everything they can to get Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes in the AFC Championship for a matchup.My Picks: BAL Moneyline / O49.5
Cleveland Browns @ Kansas City Chiefs -10 (O/U 57)
Let’s just pause for a second and give it up for the Cleveland Browns and their fans. What a fucking rollercoaster the last two weeks. You almost lose to the Steelers backups, which would’ve ended your season short of the playoffs. Then you sneak into the final wild-card spot to play your division rival, the Pittsburgh Steelers again, only to mushroom stamp them by dropping 48 points. Now that we have congratulated them, we give them their prize. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in Kansas City. This Chiefs team is very well-rested. They could come out slow like they did against the Texans last year, but will it really even matter? This #1 seed vs #7 seed is going to play out just like the seeding. The Browns should hold their head high because they had a great year but they’re going to see what it’s like to get 40+ scored on them. If you want some value in this matchup, taking the Browns to score first could payout +165 or even more, which I think could actually happen. However, that’ll be about it. Also, 57 points? That ain’t it.My Picks: KC -10 / U57
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints -3 (O/U 52)
In what is likely the “Game of the Week” we get to see the old farts, Tom Brady and Drew Brees duke it out in a heavyweight battle. Is this Brees’ last hoorah? The final game of his career? As my guy Lee Corso often says… Not so fast! Tom Brady, the best quarterback to ever walk the planet, is somehow playing as good as he’s ever played in his career. His weapons? There’s honestly too many to name. Meanwhile, Brees’ arm is getting weaker and his receivers aren’t anything special outside of Slant Boy. How could the Saints possible pull this off? DESTINY. I would bet my bottom dollar that this is Brees’ final season and he is going out on top. The Saints have arguably the best offensive weapon in the NFL in Alvin Kamara, and even though the Bucs stop every running back they face, Kamara is different. Sean Payton is far too good of a coach to come out unprepared in this game. It also seems that way too many people are leaning towards the Bucs winning this one, which almost always means the Saints are going to win. It won’t be pretty, but I love the Saints in this one.
My Picks: NO -3 / O52