This week on TNF we have the Bills heading into Tampa Bay to take on the Buccaneers. Both teams are looking to get back on track after losses last week. Will the Bills be able to handle business as 9-point favorites or will the Buccaneers shock everyone including me?
As we do every week, let’s go over how our bets did last week in the thriller of a game between the Jaguars and Saints.
1. Over 39.5 -105 (1U)
Free cash. I didn’t outsmart myself. The Saints were 6-0 on their under heading into last week, and as expected, they finally ended their streak. We were on pace the entire game, but with how the Saints have played this season nothing was a lock until Taysom Hill ran that ball early in the 4th (more on that later). We ended up smoking the over #, with the final score being 31-24.
2. First Score FG +125 (1.5U) & First Turnover Fumble +155 (1.5U)
Another week of going 1/2… Which as everyone knows is all we need for these bets. To start the game the Jags walked down the field and scored a short TD. All the pressure was on the fumble… The Jags would also cash for us on their first play the next time they touched the ball.
LETS GO! Always nice to cash the bet with higher odds…
2B Bonus Bet: Saints 1st Score Method- FG +120 (1U)
3-0 on my bonus bets to start the year! I thought all hope was lost after the Saints missed a 51-yarder on their opening possession. A couple of possessions later they had the ball within the five but were not able to score. Cashing this bet with an easy 23-yard FG.
3. Alvin Kamara Anytime TD Scorer +110 (1U)
HAHA FUCK ALVIN KAMARA! So many chances for a touchdown throughout the game but he just couldn’t get it done. This was the difference between a decent week and an amazing week. He seriously had so many chances. Just watch this one goalline possession.
Just stuffed every time. What can ya do? Onto this week.
Week 7 Recap
Much better than last week. 3-2 with multiple + money bets hit.
Week 7 Record: 3-2 (+1.8U)
Season Record: 14-18 (+1.6U)
Week 7 Preview
Both the Bills and Buccaneers are going to be desperate for a win. The Bills suffered a stunning loss in New England. With losses in two of their past three games, look for the Bills to come out fast. The Bucs are also struggling losing 2 in a row with Baker Mayfield slowly looking like the player that we have all seen the past couple of years.
Here’s which team will get back on track this week on Thursday Night Football.
Week 7 Best Bets
1. Bills -9 (1U) & Bills 1H -4.5 (1.5U)
The first thing that came to my mind after the Bills’ loss last week was they are going to destroy whoever they play this week. Unfortunately for the Buccaneers, they are the team standing in the way, and this is going to be a shit show. The Bills are going to come out the gate hot and not look back.
Take both the full game and 1H spread while sprinkling .5U more on the 1H.
2. First Score FG +130 (1.5U) & First Turnover Fumble +150 (1.5U)
For the first time basically all year, I don’t completely love this bet. I can easily see the Bills having an opening drive TD, and we all know the probability of Josh Allen & Baker Mayfield throwing an INT. But we will never back down from the world’s best bet. It hasn’t failed us all season. Can it stay hot?
2B Bonus Bet: Buccaneers 1st Score Method FG +105 (1U)
This is kinda a backup bet just in case the Bills score a TD right away. I love this bet actually as I think the Bills will stuff the Buccaneers every time they get in the red zone.
My bonus bets are 3-0 on the year can we make it 4?
3. Dalton Kincaid Over 41.5 Yards -110 (1U) & James Cook Under 50.5 Rushing Yards -115 (1U)
Two-player props, one over one under. With Dawson Knox set to get surgery on his wrist, look for the rookie Dalton Kincaid to explode in the coming weeks.
My under bet on the other hand is just because I watched the Bucs play against the Falcons last week. I don’t think Cook is gonna get many run chances against this Bucs team. Look for the Bills to lean on Latavius Murray more on the short week in the run game.
Best Of Luck
Back in the Green for the year and never felt better. Love the slate this week as you can tell from the number of units deployed (8.5 to be exact haha).
Will we find ourselves back in the red come this time next week? I sure as hell hope not! Best of luck you degenerates on all your bets this weekend.
Some people call me MarTy and some people call me Ryan. Wildcard when it comes to my writing. #FadeMe if I ever tweet out “locks”.